derivation

Consider Taylor series [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_340.gif], where [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_341.gif]

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_342.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_343.gif]

Define foo31 and foo32 below, which will satisfy [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_344.gif]as shown later.

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_345.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_346.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_347.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_348.gif]

Define a rule to make [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_349.gif], thus ih2 is the inverse matrix of h2.

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_350.gif]

Apply this rule to foo31+foo32 to get foo33.

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_351.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_352.gif]

Confirming foo33=[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_353.gif]

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_354.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_355.gif]

Since [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_356.gif] is the multivariate normal density function with mean specified above and [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_357.gif] covariance, [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_358.gif]=[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_359.gif]. Then, ψ(θ)=log[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_360.gif]

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_361.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_362.gif]

Considering [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_363.gif], we find that [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_364.gif] and [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_365.gif]from the above expression of [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_366.gif].  Let us write [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_367.gif]with [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_368.gif]

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_369.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_370.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_371.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_372.gif]

Rewrite the Taylor series of h(y) by noting the first derivative h1 is in fact [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_373.gif].

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_374.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_375.gif]

In the following, [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_376.gif], where [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_377.gif].

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_378.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_379.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_380.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_381.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_382.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_383.gif]

Noting [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_384.gif], where the expectation is taken for the multivariate normal with mean [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_385.gif] and covariance identity. We apply "logeexppoly" to foo37. First, we get foo38={a0,a1,a2,a3,a4} for the coefficients of [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_386.gif], and [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_387.gif]below.

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_388.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_389.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_390.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_391.gif]

Now substitute [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_392.gif][Graphics:../Images/index_gr_393.gif] for [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_394.gif] in foo39 to get ψ(θ)=foo40 in terms of η below. The coefficients for the polynomial of η is stored in foo41.

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_395.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_396.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_397.gif]

Since foo40=ψ(θ)=psieta, foo41 must be equal to foo42 below.

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_398.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_399.gif]

At first, we compare the coefficient for [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_400.gif].

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_401.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_402.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_403.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_404.gif]

Thus, ah2 is in fact [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_405.gif] instead of [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_406.gif].

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_407.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_408.gif]

We rewrite foo43=foo42-foo41.

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_409.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_410.gif]

We solve these five equations ⩵ 0. At first, foo43[[4]]==0 gives [Graphics:../Images/index_gr_411.gif]

[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_412.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_413.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_414.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_415.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_416.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_417.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_418.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_419.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_420.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_421.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_422.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_423.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_424.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_425.gif]
[Graphics:../Images/index_gr_426.gif]


Converted by Mathematica      July 21, 2003